上海大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2025, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (1): 111-129.

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市场潜能、制度环境与城市共同富裕——基于溢出效应及衰减边界的探讨


  

  1. 华东理工大学 商学院
  • 出版日期:2025-01-15 发布日期:2025-01-24
  • 作者简介:吴柏钧,华东理工大学商学院教授、博士生导师。研究方向:区域经济学、城乡融合。 徐永辉,华东理工大学商学院博士研究生。研究方向:区域经济学、城乡融合。
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重点项目(21AZD036);上海市教委重大项目(2021科技科创01-109)

Market Potential, Institutional Environment, and Urban Common Prosperity: An Exploration Based on Spillover Effects and Attenuation  Boundaries

  1. Business School, East China University of Science and Technology
  • Online:2025-01-15 Published:2025-01-24

摘要: 在市场潜能、制度环境和共同富裕为统一分析框架下,以 2005—2020 年地级以上城市数据为基础,可通过空间杜宾模型检验市场潜能、制度环境对城市共同富裕的直接影响和空间溢出效应,并探讨两者的空间衰减边界以及制度环境的门槛调节作用。研究发现:城市扩大市场潜能显著促进了共同富裕进程,其传导机制为物质资本配置、产业结构优化及外商直接投资三种途径,而产业结构优化的中介效应最为突出;市场潜能对共同富裕的促进作用存在制度环境的门槛效应,而制度环境越完善,市场潜能对共同富裕发展的促进作用越强;在城市规模的分类下,市场潜能对共同富裕进程的促进作用存在显著的异质性,相较于大城市及中等城市,市场潜能对共同富裕的促进作用在超大城市及特大城市更明显;市场潜能及制度环境对共同富裕空间外溢效应的有效边界分别为 650公里、950公里,在此范围内两者对共同富裕的空间溢出具有先上升后下降的衰减特征。

关键词: 市场潜能, 制度环境, 共同富裕, 空间计量, 衰减边界

Abstract: Using data from cities at the prefecture level and above from 2005 to 2020, this study employs a spatial Durbin model to examine the direct impact and spatial spillover effects of market potential and the institutional environment on urban common prosperity within a unified analytical framework of market potential, institutional environment, and common prosperity. The study explores the spatial attenuation boundaries of market potential and the institutional environment and the threshold moderating effect of the institutional environment. The findings are as follows: Expanding market potential significantly promotes the process of common prosperity through three transmission mechanisms: material capital allocation, industrial structure optimization, and foreign direct investment, with industrial structure optimization having the most
prominent intermediary effect. The promotion effect of market potential on common prosperity exhibits a threshold effect of the institutional environment; the more improved the institutional environment, the stronger the promotion effect of market potential on the development of common prosperity. Under the classification of city sizes, the promotion effect of market potential on the process of common prosperity shows significant heterogeneity. Compared with large and medium-sized cities, the promotion effect of market potential on common prosperity is more pronounced in megacities and super-large cities. The effective boundaries for the spillover effects of market potential and the institutional environment on common prosperity are 650 kilometers and 950 kilometers, respectively. Within this range, the spillover effects of both on common prosperity exhibit a rise-and-fall pattern of attenuation.

Key words: market potential, institutional environment, common prosperity, spatial metrology;attenuation boundary

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