English

上海大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2020, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (4): 46-58.

• 经济学研究 • 上一篇    下一篇

中国对中东欧直接投资效率和潜力的实证研究#br#

  

  1.  上海对外经贸大学 “一带一路”国家经贸关系与合作高等研究院
  • 出版日期:2020-07-15 发布日期:2020-11-27

An Empirical Research on the Efficiency and Potential of #br# China’s OFDI in Central and Eastern Europe#br#

  • Online:2020-07-15 Published:2020-11-27

摘要： 基于中国对中东欧国家直接投资存量，分别在“16+1”和“16+1+9”背景下测算了中国对中东欧16国的直接投资效率和潜力，发现“16+1+9”样本下的投资效率较“16+1”样本下的投资效率有显著提高，“16+1+9”样本下的投资潜力高于“16+1”样本，并且分析比较了其差异性和成因。结果显示：中国对欧盟成员国罗马尼亚、保加利亚和匈牙利的投资效率较高，投资潜力也较大；相比而言，中国对巴尔干半岛上的波黑、黑山、塞尔维亚和北马其顿等国的投资效率偏低。

关键词: 中东欧国家, 非效率项随机前沿引力模型, 投资效率, 投资潜力

Abstract:  Based on China’s stock of direct investment in Central and Eastern European countries, efficiency and potential of China’s direct investment in the 16 countries in Central Eastern Europe are measured against the background of “16+1” and “16+1+9” respectively, and their differences and causes are analyzed. It is found that the investment efficiency under the “16+1+9” sample is significantly higher than that under the “16+1” sample, and the investment potential under the “16+1+9” sample is higher than the “16+1” sample. The results show that China has higher investment efficiency and greater investment potential in EU members like Romania, Bulgaria and Hungary, while in Balkan countries like Bosnia, Herzegovina, Montenegro, Serbia and Northern Macedonia, the investment efficiency is relatively low. 

Key words: Central and Eastern European countries, Inefficiency Stochastic Frontier Gravity Model, OFDI efficiency, OFDI potential ,