上海大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2020, Vol. 37 ›› Issue (4): 1-13.

• 中国问题 •    下一篇

回看中国:20世纪末的“化危为机”与结构性制度变迁#br#

  

  1. 中国人民大学 农业与农村发展学院
  • 出版日期:2020-07-15 发布日期:2020-11-27

Looking Back at China: Turning Crises into Opportunities by #br# Structural Systematic Transformation at the End of 20th Century#br#

  • Online:2020-07-15 Published:2020-11-27

摘要:  20世纪70年代,全球产业资本由美国等西方发达国家向发展中国家转移,中国也顺势向西方开放引进外资,但因此造成财政赤字进而引发经济危机,最后通过向农民既“放权”又“放责”的制度性变迁而走出危机。80年代,农村因有了自主发展权而获得长达近十年的繁荣,与此同时却是城市改革的举步维艰,伴随“向右转”的全球潮流和东欧剧变,中国再次遭遇经济政治危机。90年代初面对萧条,中国凭借金融主权进行自主货币化和资本化,同时在沿海引进劳动力密集的低端产业,接着靠增发国债用于基本建设投资应对了东亚金融危机。进入21世纪,2007年次贷引发西方金融海啸及欧债危机,外需再度下降,依旧是国家对农村的大量投资以及农民的内需消费挽救了中国。面对2019年底新冠病毒疫情触发的全球危机,结合历史经验,中国若能借机推动国家的生态文明转型,促进生态资源资本化和城乡融合发展,或许能够率先走出危机,转危为安。

关键词:  , 全球化, 金融资本, 制度变迁, 生态文明

Abstract: In the 1970s, global industrial capital shifted from the western developed countries like the United States to the developing countries. China seized the momentum by opening to the West and introducing foreign investment, but was thus subject to financial deficit and further plagued by an economic crisis. It was through systematic transformation such as delegating power and responsibility to lower levels that helped China out of the crisis. In the 1980s, ten years of rural prosperity was obtained due to autonomous right to development in rural areas, but soon China encountered economic and political crises for the second time due to the stagnated urban reform and the global trend of “rightist turn” including the disintegration of the former Soviet Union and the upheaval in the Eastern Europe. At the beginning of the 1990s, in response to the economic recession, China conducted autonomous monetization and capitalization based on financial sovereignty while introducing lowend and laborintensive industries to the coastal regions. Later on, China expanded infrastructure investment by issuing more national bonds in response to East Asian financial crisis. In 2007, subprime crisis triggered financial tsunami in the West, followed by European debt crisis, resulting in decreased external demand. At this moment, China, again, turned to tremendous rural investment and domestic demand from farmers, and successfully walked out of predicaments. Now, confronted with the global crisis incurred by the Covid19 outbreak at the end of 2019, China should learn lessons from history. If China can seize the opportunity by pushing forward the transformation of national ecological civilization, the capitalization of ecological resources and the integrated development of urban and rural areas, chances are that China will take the lead in averting crises into opportunities. 

Key words: globalization, financial capital, systematic transformation, ecological civilization ,