上海大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2024, Vol. 41 ›› Issue (2): 80-94.

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“一带一路”沿线境外经贸合作区对东道国经济增长的影响及机制研究

  

  1. 上海大学经济学院,上海200444
  • 出版日期:2024-03-15 发布日期:2024-03-16
  • 基金资助:
    国家社会科学基金重大项目(19ZDA130)

Impact of Overseas Economic and Trade Cooperation Zones along the “Belt and Road”on the Economic Growth of Host Countries and Its#br# Mechanism

  1. School of Economics, Shanghai University, Shanghai 200444, China
  • Online:2024-03-15 Published:2024-03-16

摘要:

境外经贸合作区是共建“一带一路”倡议的重要承接点,也是推动我国企业高质量“走出去”的重要平台,如何评估合作区建设对考察我国“一带一路”倡议成效与境外经贸合作区的实践效果具有重要参考价值。基于60个“一带一路”沿线国家的样本数据,通过渐进性双重差分法,可对境外经贸合作区对东道国经济增长的影响和内在机制进行实证分析,并对东道国经济特征和合作区类型进行异质性分析。研究结果表明:第一,境外经贸合作区的建立可以显著促进东道国的经济增长。其中,外商投资流入和贸易规模发挥了部分中介作用。第二,境外经贸合作区在促进东道国的经济增长方面具有异质性,对收入水平较低、营商制度较差的国家具有更强的经济助推作用。

关键词: “一带一路”, 境外经贸合作区, 经济增长, 双重差分法

Abstract: Overseas economic and trade cooperation zone is not only a critical undertaking point of jointly building the“Belt and Road Initiative”(BRI), but also an important platform to promote Chinese enterprises to “go global”with high quality. How to evaluate the construction of cooperation zones is of great significance of reference to the study of the effect of China’s BRI and the practical effect of the zones. Based on the sample data of 60 countries along the“Belt and Road”, this paper empirically analyzes the influence of overseas economic and trade cooperation zones on the economic growth of the host countries and its internal mechanism by using the progressive difference in differences method, and analyzes the heterogeneity of the economic characteristics of the host countries and the types of cooperation zones. The results show that, firstly, the establishment of
overseas economic and trade cooperation zones can significantly promote the economic growth of host countries.
Among them, the inflow of foreign investment and the scale of trade play an intermediary role to some extent.
Secondly, overseas economic and trade cooperation zones have heterogeneity in promoting the economic growth
of the host countries, and have stronger economic boosting effect on countries with a lower income level and poor
business system.

Key words: “the Belt and Road”, overseas economic and trade cooperation zones, economic growth;
difference in differences

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