上海大学学报(社会科学版)

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国际气候变化制度的未来蓝图 ——从《哥本哈根协议》到《坎昆协议》

桑德琳·马龙杜波依斯,凡妮莎·理查德   

  1. 法国国家科学研究院国际法与欧盟法研究中心
  • 收稿日期:2012-01-05 出版日期:2012-03-15 发布日期:2012-03-15
  • 通讯作者: 桑德琳·马龙杜波依斯(Sandrine Maljean-Dubois)(1969),女,法国艾克斯人。法国国家科学研究院国际法与欧盟法研究中心主任,高级研究员,博士生导师。
  • 作者简介:桑德琳·马龙杜波依斯(Sandrine Maljean-Dubois)(1969),女,法国艾克斯人。法国国家科学研究院国际法与欧盟法研究中心主任,高级研究员,博士生导师。

The Drafting of the Future International Climate Regime:
From the Copenhagen Accord to the Cancún Accords

  • Received:2012-01-05 Online:2012-03-15 Published:2012-03-15

摘要: 全球气候变化已经引起国际社会的关注,产生了不同的国际社会组织,并制定了各项相关国际社会制度,这些制度在解决国际气候变化的问题上具有关键性和决定性作用:首先,该制度起着建构性的作用;其次,国际气候变化制度必须对激活该项制度起到推波助澜的作用,使得处于不同地位的各方在谈判过程中能够建立共识,并且能在国际层面推动达成更具雄心的气候变化政策。这些促成了《哥本哈根协议》、《坎昆协议》的诞生。《哥本哈根协议》明确将气温升高控制在2摄氏度作为减排的目标。《坎昆协议》将此目标具体化,并提出气温升高控制在1.5摄氏度的任务。“后2012”国际气候变化制度必须具有全球性特征,遵循公平原则和共同但有区别的责任原则,将世界上主要的温室气体排放国家美国和一些发展中国家纳入进来。从性质上来说,《坎昆协议》所建构的可测量、可报告、可核证体系代替原有的制度机制,这将是国际气候变化制度中的全新改变。

关键词: 国际气候变化, 制度设计, 《哥本哈根协议》, 《坎昆协议》, 德班会议

Abstract: Global climate change has aroused extensive concern in the international community, given rise to different international organizations and catalyzed various international climate change regimes. These regimes play a pivotal and decisive role in relieving the threat of international climate change: a structuring role and the revitalizing role of a driving force, which makes different positions progress in negotiation processes and allows the set up of an international consensus and the promotion of more ambitious climate policies such as the Copenhagen Accord and the Cancún Accords. While the Copenhagen Accord involves commitment to drastically reduce GHG emissions so as to hold temperature increase below or at the 2°C threshold, the Cancún Accords concretize this goal and calls for a new 1.5°C threshold. The post2012 international climate regime must respect the equity principle, the common but differentiated responsibilities principle (CBDR principle) and bring together the whole of major GHG emitters including the United States and major developing emitters. Essentially speaking, the Measurement, Reporting, and Verification system (MRV system) in the Cancún Accords is replacing observance and is thus a quite different regime than the existing.

Key words: The Drafting of the Future International Climate Regime, Copenhagen Accord, Cancún Accords, Deban Conference

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